MLB - Renegade Sports Analytics

Major League Baseball

MLB Hot/Cold

MLB Hottest Hitters (Last 2 Weeks)
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MLB Coldest Hitters (Last 2 Weeks)
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MLB’s Hottest Teams

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Starting Pitchers
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Bullpen
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MLB’s Coldest Teams

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MLB Run Line Records
Definitions Run Line Record: The number of ATS covers, no-covers, and pushes Cover %: The percentage of time the team covered, net of pushes MOV: The average margin of victory (negative in losses) Run Line +/-: The average amount of points that the team covers the spread by Range: 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 Since 2007 Since 2008 Since 2009 Since 2010 Since 2011 Since 2012 Since 2013 Since 2014 Since 2015 Since 2016 Since 2017 Since 2018 Since 2019 Since 2020 Since 2021 Since 2022 Since 2023 Since 2024 Since 2025 Since 2026 Show: All AL West AL East AL Central NL Central NL West NL East Situation: All Games After A Win After A Loss As Home Team As Away Team At Neutral Site As Favorite As Underdog As Home Favorite As Home Underdog As Away Favorite As Away Underdog No Rest 1 Day Off 2-3 Days Off 4+ Days Off Second Game of Doubleheader With Rest Advantage With Rest Disadvantage With Equal Rest League Games Non-League Games Division Games Non-Division Games Regular Season Games Playoff Games

Team	Run Line Record	Cover %	MOV	Run Line +/-
Chi Sox	84-63-0	57.1%	0.2	+0.9
San Diego	83-64-0	56.5%	0.1	+0.2
Washington	84-65-0	56.4%	0.0	+0.9
St. Louis	81-67-0	54.7%	-0.1	+0.6
Tampa Bay	80-67-0	54.4%	0.4	-0.3
Arizona	79-69-0	53.4%	0.0	+0.3
Atlanta	78-70-0	52.7%	0.8	0.0
Milwaukee	78-70-0	52.7%	1.3	+0.3
Colorado	77-70-0	52.4%	-1.1	+0.4
Minnesota	76-71-0	51.7%	-0.4	+0.2
Detroit	76-71-0	51.7%	0.4	+0.2
Baltimore	76-72-0	51.3%	-0.2	-0.1
Houston	76-72-0	51.3%	-0.3	-0.2
SF Giants	76-72-0	51.3%	-0.5	+0.2
LA Angels	75-72-0	51.0%	-0.5	+0.5
NY Yankees	74-73-0	50.3%	0.9	-0.1
Cincinnati	74-73-0	50.3%	-1.0	-0.4
Kansas City	74-74-0	50.0%	-0.6	0.0
Cleveland	73-75-0	49.3%	-0.1	-0.3
Miami	72-76-0	48.7%	0.0	+0.1
Toronto	71-77-0	48.0%	-0.3	-0.5
Chi Cubs	71-77-0	48.0%	0.9	+0.2
Pittsburgh	71-77-0	48.0%	0.2	+0.1
Sacramento	70-78-0	47.3%	-1.3	-0.5
Boston	70-78-0	47.3%	0.5	0.0
NY Mets	69-78-0	46.9%	-0.3	-0.4
Texas	69-79-0	46.6%	-0.3	-0.4
Philadelphia	62-86-0	41.9%	0.2	-0.6
LA Dodgers	60-87-0	40.8%	1.2	-0.2
Seattle	56-92-0	37.8%	-0.5	-1.3

MLB Over/Under Records
Definitions Over Record: The number of times the game went over, under, and pushed Over %: The percentage of time the total went over, net of pushes Under %: The percentage of time the total went under, net of pushes Total +/-: The average amount of points that the game goes over (negative in unders) Range: 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 Since 2007 Since 2008 Since 2009 Since 2010 Since 2011 Since 2012 Since 2013 Since 2014 Since 2015 Since 2016 Since 2017 Since 2018 Since 2019 Since 2020 Since 2021 Since 2022 Since 2023 Since 2024 Since 2025 Since 2026 Show: All AL West AL East AL Central NL Central NL West NL East Situation: All Games After A Win After A Loss As Home Team As Away Team At Neutral Site As Favorite As Underdog As Home Favorite As Home Underdog As Away Favorite As Away Underdog No Rest 1 Day Off 2-3 Days Off 4+ Days Off Second Game of Doubleheader With Rest Advantage With Rest Disadvantage With Equal Rest League Games Non-League Games Division Games Non-Division Games Regular Season Games Playoff Games

Team	Over Record	Over %	Under %	Total +/-
Minnesota	79-59-9	57.3%	42.8%	+1.1
Chi Sox	82-63-2	56.6%	43.5%	+0.8
Chi Cubs	82-64-2	56.2%	43.8%	+1.2
Seattle	77-63-8	55.0%	45.0%	+0.6
Washington	77-64-8	54.6%	45.4%	+1.3
Cincinnati	79-66-2	54.5%	45.5%	+0.5
Pittsburgh	76-66-6	53.5%	46.5%	+1.1
Texas	74-65-9	53.2%	46.8%	+0.6
Houston	73-67-8	52.1%	47.9%	+0.7
Sacramento	75-69-4	52.1%	47.9%	+0.6
Miami	75-69-4	52.1%	47.9%	+0.6
SF Giants	70-66-12	51.5%	48.5%	+0.6
Baltimore	74-70-4	51.4%	48.6%	+0.6
Toronto	73-70-5	51.1%	48.9%	+0.3
NY Mets	68-67-12	50.4%	49.6%	+0.7
Colorado	70-73-4	48.9%	51.1%	+0.6
Philadelphia	67-72-9	48.2%	51.8%	+0.4
Cleveland	71-77-0	48.0%	52.0%	+0.4
Boston	69-75-4	47.9%	52.1%	+0.2
Tampa Bay	68-74-5	47.9%	52.1%	+0.6
St. Louis	67-73-8	47.9%	52.1%	+0.7
LA Dodgers	69-76-2	47.6%	52.4%	+0.2
Atlanta	66-75-7	46.8%	53.2%	0.0
Kansas City	66-78-4	45.8%	54.2%	+0.4
Milwaukee	66-78-4	45.8%	54.2%	+0.8
San Diego	65-78-4	45.5%	54.6%	0.0
NY Yankees	64-78-5	45.1%	54.9%	+0.1
Detroit	63-77-7	45.0%	55.0%	+0.2
Arizona	62-80-6	43.7%	56.3%	+0.1
LA Angels	59-86-2	40.7%	59.3%	+0.2

Yesterday’s Scores

Pittsburgh Pirates	2	Final
Chicago Cubs	12

W	Shota Imanaga (10-10)
L	Wilber Dotel (1-5)

Colorado Rockies	2	Final
Detroit Tigers	6

W	Framber Valdez (10-10)
L	Mark Manfredi (1-2)
S	Kenley Jansen (19)

Los Angeles Angels	3	Final
Washington Nationals	4

W	Clayton Beeter (6-5)
L	Samy Natera (1-2)
S	Erik Tolman (2)

New York Mets	4	Final
New York Yankees	6

W	Carlos Rodón (6-3)
L	Nolan McLean (11-9)
S	David Bednar (33)

Baltimore Orioles	7	Final
Toronto Blue Jays	4

W	Chris Bassitt (7-5)
L	Max Scherzer (2-8)
S	Rico Garcia (8)

Kansas City Royals	3	Final
Boston Red Sox	2

W	Seth Lugo (7-8)
L	Sonny Gray (17-5)
S	Steven Cruz (7)

Los Angeles Dodgers	6	Final
Miami Marlins	2

W	Blake Snell (4-1)
L	Ryan Gusto (1-5)

Houston Astros	1	Final
Tampa Bay Rays	3

W	Bryan Baker (2-2)
L	Bryan Abreu (6-4)

Philadelphia Phillies	5	Final
Atlanta Braves	6	(11)

W	Didier Fuentes (7-2)
L	Brooks Raley (5-6)

Cincinnati Reds	0	Final
Milwaukee Brewers	20

W	Dustin May (7-9)
L	Andrew Abbott (6-11)
S	Garrett Stallings (1)

Cleveland Guardians	5	Final
Minnesota Twins	2

W	Hunter Gaddis (4-3)
L	Yoendrys Gómez (2-3)
S	Cade Smith (36)

Chicago White Sox	3	Final
St. Louis Cardinals	7

W	Gordon Graceffo (8-1)
L	Anthony Kay (9-9)

Texas Rangers	1	Final
Arizona Diamondbacks	9

W	Kevin Ginkel (6-4)
L	MacKenzie Gore (8-11)

Seattle Mariners	5	Final
Athletics	6	(10)

W	Chris Roycroft (2-0)
L	Eduard Bazardo (3-4)

San Diego Padres	7	Final
San Francisco Giants	5

W	Robbie Ray (12-8)
L	Anthony Molina (3-1)
S	Mason Miller (35)

MLB Standings

2026 MLB DIVISION STANDINGS

AL EAST		W-L	PCT	GB	HOME	AWAY	RS	RA	DIFF	L10	STRK

AL CENTRAL		W-L	PCT	GB	HOME	AWAY	RS	RA	DIFF	L10	STRK

AL WEST		W-L	PCT	GB	HOME	AWAY	RS	RA	DIFF	L10	STRK

NL EAST		W-L	PCT	GB	HOME	AWAY	RS	RA	DIFF	L10	STRK

NL CENTRAL		W-L	PCT	GB	HOME	AWAY	RS	RA	DIFF	L10	STRK

NL WEST		W-L	PCT	GB	HOME	AWAY	RS	RA	DIFF	L10	STRK

ZClinched Best League Record XClinched Wild Card

Jack Flaherty Has Become the Most Dominant Pitcher in the National League

Ever since they were swept in Oakland and LA near the beginning of August, the Cardinals have been on fire! How have they fueled this latest surge? With around average to below-average stats in all the offensive categories over the last month (21st in batting average, 24th in slugging), the answer is pitching and defense.…

by Will McClaughry September 11, 2019September 12, 2019

I Think The Opener Is Working

I wrote previously on the Rays and their use of the opener. I’ll link to that post at the bottom of this one. Now that we are just past the All-Star break I felt it was a good time to check in on how it’s working. Let’s take a look at where the Rays pitching…

by Will McClaughry July 20, 2018February 12, 2019

Waxahachie Swaps and Sergio Romo Playing Third Base

Time to talk about the Rays again. I didn’t plan to write about them again, but then last Wednesday, Sergio Romo played 3rd base. The Rays used a very unique version of the Waxahachie swap. The Waxahachie swap is a maneuver in which the manager will move a pitcher (usually a lefty) to another position…

by Will McClaughry July 31, 2018February 12, 2019